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Market thermometer

Risk Score

A daily 0-100 score for how much risk we see in the US market. Based on 7 quantitative signals (volatility, credit spreads, breadth, etc.) plus a narrative read of financial X/Twitter.

0/100
☀️ Calm & healthy

The market is in a calm, healthy phase. No warning signals.

What to do

A good time to buy or hold. Invest as usual.

The score is steady vs recent weeks.

The detailed read

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Updated July 27, 2026

30-day history

Composite score per day

06-30 07-27

What does this score mean?

0-30 (Low risk): The broader market is healthy. Risk-on environment.

30-50 (Normal): Standard volatility. No extreme signals.

50-70 (Elevated): Stress in parts of the market. Be careful with new positions.

70-100 (High risk): Multiple crash signals are flashing. Think defensively.

This score is not a forecast. A high score means historically there has been more risk in the market — not that a crash will happen tomorrow. Use it as one of several inputs to your own decisions.