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Macro

Hard Landing

A hard landing is when an economy slows down so sharply and suddenly that it tips into recession—a period of negative growth and rising unemployment. You'll hear economists and market analysts debate whether the Fed (the central bank) can engineer a "soft landing" (gradual slowdown without recession) or if a hard landing is inevitable. It matters to investors because recessions typically hurt stock prices, especially in growth-heavy sectors. For example, if the Fed raises interest rates aggressively to fight inflation and companies can't afford to borrow or spend, consumer demand collapses, triggering layoffs and a hard landing. The fear of one often drives market volatility and shapes investment strategy.

Updated July 1, 2026.